I work at a semiconductor fabrication facility in the USA for Samsung as an engineer developing and deploying a variety of AI models (traditional CV and LLMs) for manufacturing operations. This post analyzes whether AGI—defined as AI capable of all digital white collar work at 10x human speed—could meaningfully accelerate...
I work at a semiconductor fabrication facility in the USA for Samsung as an engineer developing and deploying a variety of AI models (traditional CV and LLMs) for manufacturing operations. This post analyzes whether AGI—defined as AI capable of all digital white collar work at 10x human speed—could meaningfully accelerate current semiconductor manufacturing growth trends with or without access to humanoid robots. My conclusion is that even in the highly unlikely case that humanoid robots are brought online tomorrow, chip manufacturing would have a 8.4-9.1% CAGR instead of a baseline 7% CAGR, an increase of 20-30% over the next 2-3 years. Same goes for advanced (<7nm) chips, increasing from 14% CAGR to... (read 2769 more words →)
The music industry has already passed the threshold for digital AGI, but seems to be experiencing disruption dramatically less than AI song generation capabilities might suggest. Anyone can create a song of expert level quality in under 10s with an automatically generated prompt (or write one themselves if they want). The Chainsmokers took about 8 hours in total to make the single Roses, which has over 1.3bn streams as of 02/10/2026 and I believe is on the quicker end of writing time for pop songs, although I am not sure reliable data exists for this anywhere. However, despite AI's capability to create expert level music 2,880x faster than human artists with essentially... (read more)
