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The Buddha with dependent origination. I think it says somewhere that most of the stuff in Buddhism was from before the Buddha's time. These are things such as breath-based practices and loving kindness, among others. He had one revelation that made the entire enlightenment thing basically which is called dependent origination.*
*At least according to my meditation teacher, I believe him since he was a neuroscientist and astrophysics masters at Berkeley before he left for India though so he's got some pretty good epistemics.
It basically states that any system is only true based on another system being true. It has some really cool parallels to Gödel's Incompleteness Theorem but on a metaphysical level. Emptiness of emptiness and stuff. (On a side note I can recommend TMI + Seeing That Frees if you want to experience som radical shit there.)
This was a great post, thank you for making it!
I wanted to ask what you thought about the LLM-forecasting papers in relation to this literature? Do you think there are any ways of applying the uncertainty estimation literature to improve the forecasting ability of AI?:
I like the post and generally agree. Here's a random thought on the OOD generalization. I feel that often we talk about how being good at 2 or 3 different things allow for new exploration. If you believe in books such as Range, then we're a lot more creative when combining ideas from multiple different fields. I rather think of multiple "hulls" (I'm guessing this isn't technically correct since I'm a noob at convex optimisation.) and how to apply them together to find new truths.
Damn, great post, thank you!
I saw that you used Freedom; random tip is to use the appblock app instead, as it is more powerful as well as cold turkey blocker on the computer. (If you want to there are ways to get around the other blockers)
That's all I wanted to say really, I will probably try it out in the future. I was thinking of giving myself an allowance or something similar to what I could spend on the app and see if it would increase my productivity.
I think Neurallink already did this actually, a bit late to the point but a good try anyway. Also, have you considered having Michael Bay direct the research effort? I think he did a pretty good job with the first Transformers.
Yeah, I agree with what you just said; I should have been more careful with my phrasing.
Maybe something like: "The naive version of the orthogonality thesis where we assume that AIs can't converge towards human values is assumed to be true too often"
Compared to other people on this site this is a part of my alignment optimism. I think that there are Natural abstractions in the moral landscape that makes agents converge towards cooperation and similar things. I read this post recently and Leo Gao made an argument that concave agents generally don't exist because since they stop existing. I think that there are pressures that conform agents to part of the value landscape.
Like I agree that the orthogonality thesis is presumed to be true way too often. It is more like an argument that it may not happen by default but I'm also uncertain about the evidence that it actually gives you.
Any SBF enjoyers?
Disclaimer: I don't necessarily support this view, I thought about it for like 5 minutes but I thought it made sense.
If we were to do things the same thing as other slowing down of regulation, then that might make sense, but I'm uncertain that you can take the outside view here?
Yes, we can do the same as for other technologies by leaving it down to the standard government procedures to make legislation and then I might agree with you that slowing down might not lead to better outcomes. Yet, we don't have to do this. We can use other processes that might lead to a lot better decisions. Like what about proper value sampling techniques like digital liquid democracy? I think we can do a lot better than we have in the past by thinking about what mechanism we want to use.
Also, for some potential examples, I thought of cloning technology in like the last 5 min. If we just went full-speed with that tech then things would probably have turned out badly?