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jonomyster
2020
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An Introduction to Evidential Decision Theory
jonomyster7mo10

Thanks for writing this up! I was wondering how this formalization works for Newcomb's problem. (I'll take box A to be the transparent box containing a thousand dollars, and box B to be the opaque box containing a million dollars or nothing.)

I would like to say that the actions are A={‘‘Take only box B",‘‘Take both boxes"}, the states are S={‘‘Box B is full",‘‘Box B is empty"}, and the outcomes O are the four different ways of combining the actions and states.

But it seems like I've violated the definition of a state given in the post:

By 'no direct control', we mean that the probability of the state is independent of the action performed.

After all, the probability of the state ‘‘Box B is full" certainly depends on the action of the agent, in the sense that P(‘‘Box B is full"|‘‘Take only box B")≠P(‘‘Box B is full"|‘‘Take both boxes").

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Hire (or Become) a Thinking Assistant
jonomyster9mo30

Related: this LessWrong post by Simon Berens is an example of using a "body double".

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