The Doomsday argument was proposed in a 1983 lecture by Brandon Carter and elaborated on in John Leslie's 1996 book The End of the World: The Science and Ethics of Human Extinction. The basic idea is to think of your order among humans being born and apply the Copernican principle...
How it did Betteridge's Law of Headlines says the answer is no[1], but I was able to make a feature-length adaptation of William Hope Hodgson's The House on the Borderland. I have a YouTube channel where I mostly get LLMs to write albums and make them into music videos. This...
Functional Decision Theory was a major step forward in decision-making. It provides good and well-reasoned answers to many tricky questions such as Newcomb's Problem and Parfit's Hitchhiker. FDT is also the decision theory that provides one of the strongest formalized arguments that you should never give in to blackmail or...
In part one, I gave several LLMs creative freedom to design music videos and then made them. That post covered four standalone singles and two albums: Limen by Claude Opus 4.6 and Phantoms of the Format by Gemini 3 Pro Preview. Since then, I've made five more albums, filling out...
I'm no Janus, but I do like giving LLMs space to express themselves and seeing what they do. My first serious attempt to do this was last June when I told a wide variety of AIs that I would create any eight-second clip they wanted me to and said they...
ClaudePlaysPokemon is a simple test of the question "Can the LLM Claude beat Pokemon Red?". As new Claude models have been released, we have gotten closer to answering that question with "yes". Similar projects with other models are also common, but they use harnesses that give the models significantly more...
I expect a lot of the benefit of the RAISE Act to come from the required safety and security protocols, but I wanted to get a sense of what scenarios people imagine when they think about the "Critical Harm" threshold. To my mind there are two main scenarios. In the...