Coronavirus: Justified Key Insights Thread

Is there a good source for many things we know from the Diamond Princess data? Or even just the numbers so far from DP? I'm not sure how to find that data.

Naming the Nameless
Double crux is hard enough with arguments, and here I'm trying to advocate something like double-cruxing aesthetic preferences, which sounds absurdly ambitious.  But: imagine if we could talk about why things seem beautiful and appealing, or ugly and unappealing.

My work is basically about this; extracting aesthetic preferences from people (and S1 based inside views more generally).

I haven't done specifically artistic aesthetics, but most thinking relies heavily on aesthetics about which problems are interesting or important, ways of behaving, ways of thinking about the world, what counts as 'simple', etc. If you want to resolve disagreements about big things, you're going to have to wade into aesthetics.

Thanks for writing this. Inferential distance + inoculation is a huge problem for transmitting large bodies of understanding in domains that previously didn't look like domains to the student. The student frequently getting a smaller version of the ideas before they can get the full version and that shuts off further interest because they've "got it".

List of civilisational inadequacy

>nobody has done studies measuring hormone levels over time and fitting a differential-equation model of how hormones affect each other's levels

What in the everloving fuck? That really seems like the first thing you should do. Has that at least been done for the shared hormones?

Living in an Inadequate World

The point was to raise nominal prices in the first place

Moloch's Toolbox (2/2)

I don't buy the idea that voters are not the main source of problem and that its voting systems. Voters don't have good incentives to have sensible opinions that go against natural prejudices.

It seems to me that if you found the median political opinion of people, you would have much worse policies in a lot of areas. Probably some would be better, but I would be surprised if it were many.

Moloch's Toolbox (1/2)

Do you know if they normalize for case difficulty? If a hospital patients seems like it will get worse outcomes.

Moloch's Toolbox (1/2)

I just did this and it was pretty easy! And in fact I decided to change the hospital I go to by default.

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