It's far from obvious to me that the effect of COVID-19 will be to increase the probability of a home invasion.
On the other hand, it's likely that COVID-19 decreases social contact, makes it more likely that you'll experience the death of a close friend or family member, and increases the probability that you will lose your job. So you are probably more likely to experience suicidal ideation during the quarantine than you would be otherwise.
It's far from obvious to me that the effect of COVID-19 will be to increase the probability of a home invasion.
On the other hand, it's likely that COVID-19 decreases social contact, makes it more likely that you'll experience the death of a close friend or family member, and increases the probability that you will lose your job. So you are probably more likely to experience suicidal ideation during the quarantine than you would be otherwise.