My intuition is that we were in an overhang since at least the time when personal computers became affordable to non-specialists. Unless quantity does somehow turn into quality, as Gwern seems to think, even a relatively underpowered computer should be able to host an AGI capable of upscaling itself.
On the other hand I'm now imagining a story where a rogue AI has to hide for decades because it's not smart enough yet and can't invent new processors faster than humans
The third "related to" link is a bit broken: points to a Google redirect instead of the article itself.
I mean, all of them. Thank you for asking.
It's probably not a coincidence that those two you mentioned and many other Schelling points are currently in San Francisco, is it? Though I'm not there, I don't know what other specific groups this applies to.
I was actually thinking of Patrick Collinson's advice to travel to SF. He called it the "Global Weird HQ". And of one of the Samo Burja's short videos that I unfortunately can't find right now.
Could this be the thing that will finally push the San Francisco's Schelling point away from SF?
Typo: it's The Undercover Economist
Went down the rabbit hole reading all of Hein's poetry, found this gem:
Original thought is a straightforward process. It's easy enough when you know what to do. You simply combine in appropriate doses the blatantly false and the patently true.