It seems picking a 1v1 game would work better as an experiment.
Caveat: ask each person to name someone they personally worked with.
Hard to get right, but not sure whether it's harder than knowledge investment.
Wouldn't have helped Louis XV. We might need infrastructure in place that would incentivize people to make themselves easy to find.
Is it really true that money can't buy knowledge?
We can ask the most knowledgeable person we know to name the most knowledgeable person they know, and do that until we find the best expert. Or alternatively, ask a bunch of people to name a few, and keep walking this graph for a while.
This won't let us buy knowledge that doesn't exist, but seems good enough for learning from experts, given enough money and modern communication technology that Louis XV didn't have.
I suspect being good at finding better scientists is very close to having a complete theory of scientific advancement and being able to automate the research itself.
My intuition is that we were in an overhang since at least the time when personal computers became affordable to non-specialists. Unless quantity does somehow turn into quality, as Gwern seems to think, even a relatively underpowered computer should be able to host an AGI capable of upscaling itself.
On the other hand I'm now imagining a story where a rogue AI has to hide for decades because it's not smart enough yet and can't invent new processors faster than humans
The third "related to" link is a bit broken: points to a Google redirect instead of the article itself.
Yes.
I mean, all of them. Thank you for asking.
It's probably not a coincidence that those two you mentioned and many other Schelling points are currently in San Francisco, is it? Though I'm not there, I don't know what other specific groups this applies to.
I was actually thinking of Patrick Collinson's advice to travel to SF. He called it the "Global Weird HQ". And of one of the Samo Burja's short videos that I unfortunately can't find right now.
Could this be the thing that will finally push the San Francisco's Schelling point away from SF?
I mean, it's easier to find two people willing to play than ten. So you'll get more data. With one or two teams it will be hard to draw any conclusions at all.