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Kyle Pena
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The best simple argument for Pausing AI?
Kyle Pena2mo00

What has humanity done with surplus people at every single opportunity that has presented itself? There's your argument.

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Futarchy's fundamental flaw
Kyle Pena2mo10

There are specific conditions under which conditional probability differs from causal intervention. Suppose we are comparing conditional probability P(Y|X=x) to intervention P(Y|do(X=x)). When there are no "backdoor paths" from Y to X - which loosely speaking, are indirect paths of influence - then these are equal.

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2Gradient Descent on Token Input Embeddings
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