I agree with DudeII , The models used to predict the rate of infection do not account for changes in the behavior of the population. I've been around a long time and I've never seen such an aggressive response to limiting the potential transmission paths in the US. It is astounding. This will have a dramatic effect on the growth rate.
It is interesting to note that early models of the Wuhan infection rates would predict continued infection acceleration. The actual infection rate is a small fraction of the total population. The mitigation had a dr... (read more)
I agree with DudeII , The models used to predict the rate of infection do not account for changes in the behavior of the population. I've been around a long time and I've never seen such an aggressive response to limiting the potential transmission paths in the US. It is astounding. This will have a dramatic effect on the growth rate.
It is interesting to note that early models of the Wuhan infection rates would predict continued infection acceleration. The actual infection rate is a small fraction of the total population. The mitigation had a dr... (read more)