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I agree with DudeII , The models used to predict the rate of infection do not account for changes in the behavior of the population. I've been around a long time and I've never seen such an aggressive response to limiting the potential transmission paths in the US. It is astounding. This will have a dramatic effect on the growth rate.

It is interesting to note that early models of the Wuhan infection rates would predict continued infection acceleration. The actual infection rate is a small fraction of the total population. The mitigation had a dramatic effect.

Exponential growth models are often useful but this is more of a stochastic problem without much way to predict the extent and the effect of mitigation and behavior changes on the progressing of the outbreak.