Confidence level/s: very speculative, low
The problem
It seems that one of the key optimization problems in democratic decision making is that we often have little incentive to vote for policies that we truly think will increase the public utility.
As per Jess Whittlestone at Vox:
While we have strong social incentives to defend our groups' political beliefs, we have very little incentive to form accurate political beliefs. Most people acknowledge that political issues are incredibly important for society as a whole, but as individuals we’re not necessarily rewarded for how rational and truth-seeking we are about politics.
Consider the contrast between our beliefs about politics and our beliefs about the physical environment immediately around us. If
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