User Profile

star112
description0
message37

Recent Posts

Curated Posts
starCurated - Recent, high quality posts selected by the LessWrong moderation team.
rss_feed Create an RSS Feed
Frontpage Posts
Posts meeting our frontpage guidelines: • interesting, insightful, useful • aim to explain, not to persuade • avoid meta discussion • relevant to people whether or not they are involved with the LessWrong community.
(includes curated content and frontpage posts)
rss_feed Create an RSS Feed
All Posts
personIncludes personal and meta blogposts (as well as curated and frontpage).
rss_feed Create an RSS Feed

No posts to display.

Recent Comments

More generally, the words for the non-metric units are often much more convenient than the words for the metric ones. I think this effect is much stronger than any difference in convenience of the actual sizes of the units.

I think it's the main reason why many of the the non-metric units are still...(read more)

It's slightly disconcerting to imagine some of the writing coming from the pen of an Anglican deacon.

The useful advice is in the first 5000 words of the essay, most importantly in the examples of bad writing. The 100 words or so of 'rules' are just a summary at the end.

This kind of teaching is common in other subjects. For example, in a Go textbook it's not rare to see a chapter containing a numb...(read more)

I don't find it off-putting, but it does make me feel I'm reading Lewis Carrol.

Priors don't come into it. The expert was presenting likelihood ratios directly (though in an obscure form of words).

That isn't what was going on in this case. The expert wasn't presenting statistics to the jury (apparently that's already forbidden).

The good news from this case (well, it's news to me) is that the UK forensic science service both understands the statistics and has sensible written procedures for ...(read more)

This isn't quite "a judge has ruled that [Bayes' theorem] can no longer be used", but I don't think it's good.

The judges decided that using a formula to calculate likelihood isn't allowed in cases where the numbers plugged into the formula are themselves uncertain (paragraph 86), and using conserv...(read more)

Thanks for the link.

I think paragraphs 80 to 86 are the key paragraphs.

They're declaring that using a formula isn't allowed in cases where the numbers plugged into the formula are themselves uncertain.

But in this case, where there was uncertainty in the underlying data the expert tried to take...(read more)

Well, I'm in the UK, and there's no law against using IQ-style tests for job applicants here. Is that really the case in the US? (I assume the "You're a terrorist" bit was hyperbole.)

Employers here still often ask for apparently-irrelevant degrees. But admission to university here isn't noticeably...(read more)