I generally agree with this, but I'd like to check my optimism against some forecasting questions on US immigration policy with respect to the war. I don't see anything on Metaculus here.
Thanks for this post. To clarify, it sounds like your thesis is about duration of sleep, not quality of sleep? How's the evidence for sleep quality and life outcomes? (And what interventions improve it?)
Carbon taxes actually poll strongly: an average of +36 net favorability across the 8 polls I've seen since 2020.
This might not be the time to push a carbon tax, but as you say, avoiding gas tax holidays would be similarly good. I created a campaign to do this, starting in California. We're currently called Save the Gas Tax, but will probably rename to Stop Oil Subsidies soon.
Following in the UK's footsteps with household transfers would be a much better use of funds if we want to spend to reduce pressure at the pump.