Measure

there's no way for a person to test if they have the lesion

Can't they just check whether they enjoy smoking?

US population in 1950 was about half what it is now, and population density in cities has probably increased even more. The counterfactual with a 0% vaccination rate today is surely much worse than 400-500 deaths per year.

Wouldn't this be analogous to a LLM with a very tiny context window in addition to frozen weights?

This confuses me. Are you saying the CDT agent does not have "the ability to alter outcomes of future interactions"?

Yes, but EY's statement implies that all (1, 2, 3) must be true for reciprocity to be strategic. There are iterated contexts where 1 and/or 2 do not hold (for example, a CDT agent playing iterated prisoner's dilemma against a simple tit-for-tat bot).

Eliezer Yudkowsky: Reciprocity in humans is an executing adaptation. It is not strategically convergent for all minds toward all other minds. It’s strategic only

1. By LDT agents
2. Toward sufficiently strong LDT-agent-predictors
3. With negotiating power.

I assume this is referring to a one-shot context?  Reciprocity seems plenty strategic for other sorts of agents/counterparties in an iterated context.

Perhaps for much of the planets lifetime, the earth was a graveyard of pristine corpses, forests of bodies, oceans of carcasses, a world littered with the indigestible dead.

Why wouldn't corpses would have been claimed by macroscopic scavengers?

I agree. Either "worthwhile" or "valuable" would be better here.

The ingredients do not contain real wasabi root.

Is the "wasabi" listed in the ingredients (8th ingredient) a different part/extract of real wasabi?

To guarantee objectivity I turned to Grok to ask if Elon Musk has ever done this. The answer is yes.

Independent of whether I agree with this, I would like to point out that it is perfectly consistent and reasonable to both want [X] to be banned and also keep doing [X] yourself unless and until it is actually banned.

Hypothetical question about copyright law: Suppose I have some copyrighted work X in a digital format. I generate an equally sized file of strongly random bits—call it A—and use XOR to combine X with A resulting in a third file B. Now A and B are each, on their own, indistinguishable from noise, but A XOR B yields the copyrighted file X. If I publish A and my friend publishes B, are either or both of us violating copyright law (can I/we be prosecuted without evidence of how A and B we're generated)?

What if I just publish random data and someone independently constructs and publishes the other half without my knowledge?

Is there a name for this mental state I sometimes find myself in after reading for a while? My breathing slows, I start to feel very "focused", and my physical perceptions start to blur. The book or screen I'm reading seems simultaneously both small/near and huge/far, my limbs feel simultaneously heavy and weightless, and time seems to be simultaneously slowing down and rushing forward. Has anyone here experienced this, and do you know what it's called?