This is a forecasting contest with cash prizes that I'm running based on 50 questions about the the 2024 election. Posting it here because I think a lot of people in this community like forecasting, prediction markets, etc. (Actually this is my first LW post after years of lurking. Am I allowed to post stuff like this? If I'm breaking a rule on self-promotion then I apologize.)
The primary goal of the contest is just to have fun and let people try their hand at probabilistic forecasting. But a secondary, behind-the-scenes goal is that I'm try to collect crowdsourced forecast data that can be aggregated to generate a "wisdom of crowds" style average... (read more)