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Mykhailo Gumen
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Longtermist Consequences of a New Dark Age?
Answer by Mykhailo GumenJun 04, 202230

"Technology level is pushed several decades back" and "civilization collapses and dark age comes" are two very different scenarios.

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What would the creation of aligned AGI look like for us?
Answer by Mykhailo GumenApr 09, 2022-40

It depends on what is possible in principle. My opinion is that it will say something like this to it's owner: "In fact, current technology level is very close to fundamental limits, so no nanorobots, no immortality, no space colonies et. ct. Maybe make some money on stock market for you?"  

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Robin Hanson's Grabby Aliens model explained - part 2
Mykhailo Gumen4y10

If only yellow dwarf stars can support life, then humanity is late, not early.

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What a 20-year-lead in military tech might look like
Mykhailo Gumen5y14-2

This looks very similar to predictions made in 2000, about military in 2020. In fact, there were few changes. I think it will be even less difference between 2020 and 2040.

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