mztian

The best plan is to pause/stop AI, i.e. have an immediate, indefinite, international moratorium on frontier AI development. And importantly, this is technically easier than more nuanced international regulation.

Regardless of whether it is THE plan, we should at least develop it into a viable option. Right now, I am afraid that a global sustained pause does not constitute an available, pushable button, by any person or organization.

As I have commented elsewhere, the present risks warrants treating this option as a political objective instead of an academi... (read more)

There are, I believe, objective difficulties to committing to "actually trying" as described in this post.

1. There does not exist a known discrete course of action that has a lower-bounded chance of success. Even for a financially independent, high profile individual, making a sustained personal effort to effectuate the highest negative delta P(doom) is an incredibly difficult proposition. So to outperform a courageous throwing a dart into the dark, one must first go through the task of formulating an actionable plan with realistic objectives. This is a SH... (read more)