Nathan Young

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A period, sure, I guess my median is 8 years?

Here is a much weaker version of this argument.

Seems extremely likely (90%) that someone either asked them to sign or that people thought it very unlikely they would. I guess I'd go for the second. LeCun doesn't look to want to sign something like this.

Ehhh, I think this stuff is easy to overrate. Most people don't know what EA is. There have been some missteps but I think it's still very early on reputationally.

Also, it really depends on the amount of good.

If EA as a brand had to be retired, I'd still stand by the impact. I think currently I wouldn't have wanted to be much more cautious in order to maintain a good brand.

Samaritans (fake name)

In the UK, this is a suicide helpline charity, so just to flag that it's a fake name in case anyone else missed this intially.

1. Long Term Reputation is Priceless

I agree long term reputation is valuable, but the hard question is "how valuable". It isn't priceless but yes, I agree it's possibly underrated by EAs. But like, when should we use it. What actions should it stop?

what is your fantasy partner/complement organization?

I like this question

yeah but it would need to look right, maybe we need a 150 person commitee and $10,000 to figure out the right one

Would you put %s on each of those steps? If so I can make a visual model of this

How did you do this without it embedding?

I tried to write markets for these when Richard originally posted then. I feel like posting a block of markets is kind of antisocial, but I think the benefits outweigh the costs.
 

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