The singularity can not happen without China's permission. The reason for this is because China manufactures everything, and the rest of the world can not manufacture anything without China's permission. If you wanted a robotics led (industrial) singularity then China gets a veto over you building those robots in the first place.

I have noticed that for a great many people in the west this post will make a claim that will demand quite a profound reorientation of basic global economic reality. There may be some resistance to this, but a good way to describe it is this: there's a black hole on this earth. This is an economic black hole, a manufacturing black hole which sucks in the entire rest of earth into its production orbit. Without this black hole we can not sustain a modern livelihood as the rest of earth mines energy from this black hole as one would do. This black hole is the largest industrial state that has ever existed in human history and hence the most powerful state in an absolute sense that has ever existed in human industry. I.e., it would be able to produce the most amount of kinetic force, ever.

This black hole is China.

This black hole is so powerful that the USA has no hard power unless China continues giving it implicit permission to have hard power.

But how could that even be?

"Surely we can manufacture the bullets in our weapons without China?"

And the answer is no. Without China we can not manufacture the bullets for the weapons we would shoot at China in a war with China, or missiles, or drones, or tanks, or fighter jets or.. or... Nor can we manufacture our AI datacenters. And anyone who has looked at supply chains at all, including e.g., Elon Musk or Tim Cook, know these realities to be obvious to a degree they don't mind having to kiss the ring of Xi Jinping regularly. Everything I write about below is common knowledge in the supply chain communities.

There will be three parts to the argument

1. First I will show you how China builds at least half of all the things (!) in the entire world

2. Then I will show you how all the other things other nations build depends entirely on China. Giving China effectively industrial escalation dominance.

3. Lastly I will argue that it will take at least decades to build an industrial supply chain independent of China with just humans. Which will lead to my final claim: a material singularity can not ha...

nix256

nix256