I work at Metaculus and would like to approve this question, but I don't see it on our end at the moment. Could you please double-check to make sure it was submitted and isn't still in draft form, or add me (NMorrion) as a co-author so I can get it running for you?
Thank you. I approved the question and it will launch tomorrow.
In addition to the question linked in the original post, here's one other related question that is live on Metaculus: