Noah Walton

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The Colliding Exponentials of AI

"AlphaZero took 8x less compute to get to AlphaGoZero level performance 1 year later."

This looks like a typo -- the second algorithm should be AlphaGo?

Social behavior curves, equilibria, and radicalism

I was excited to be reminded by this post of Louis Sachar's classic Wayside School series: in one section of the first puzzle book installment, Sideways Math from Wayside School, you read about students at various places on the social behavior curve for participating in a game of basketball, and are asked to determine who will play under the changing circumstances of that day's recess.

Social behavior curves, equilibria, and radicalism

Something triggered in me by this response -- and maybe similar to part of what you were saying in the later part: sometimes preferences aren't affected much by the social context, within a given space of social contexts. People may just want to use chopsticks because they are fun, rather than caring about what other people think about them. 

Also, societal preferences for a given thing might actually decrease when more and more people are interested in them. For example, demand for a thing might cause the price to rise. With orchestras: if lots of people are already playing violin, that increases the relative incentive for others to learn viola.

Predictive Coding has been Unified with Backpropagation

Once you add this condition, are current state-of-the-art Starcraft-learning ANNs still getting more training data than humans?

Jaan Tallinn at the Slate Star Codex Online Meetup

Are there public links to natural language and / or computer code descriptions of the funding pipeline (with donors, recommenders, and donees) that Jaan described in the conversation? I don't think I got the full structure from his description.

The feeling of breaking an Overton window

I can feel a pressure to try to guess the other person's worldview and conform to it. Recently I have been I think better at just trying to debate things out with others. Possibly I may get uncomfortable if consensus isn't reached. I'm getting maybe a little bit more comfortable with this possibility though. Something interesting that can come up is a strong indignant feeling: "how the hell could anyone NOT believe X!!", which can cause me to change those exclamation points into a question mark and start wondering, which could potentially take a long time (currently I am confused about God beliefs/unbeliefs, after realizing that I sort of identify as an atheist but have a hard time identifying clear reasons that I should). 

Another thing that I have noticed is the possibility to give silent responses rather than essentially lying. This can be very uncomfortable and sad, but may have benefits as well. I think it can feel pretty awful if I end up having to give a lot of silent responses over a period where I ALSO am not able to give myself much space to think (e.g. in a situation where I am constantly around people for a substantial period of time and not able to find a way to give myself "sufficient seclusion").

The feeling of breaking an Overton window

I did identify with this. Nothing concrete to share right now.

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