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Views expressed here do not reflect my views on AI, where I’m a lot less doomy than this would appear to express . A long, long time ago I can still remember how that AI progress used to make me smile And I knew if alignment researchers had a chance...
Crosspost. 1 The analytic philosophers vs the rationalists A lot of analytic philosophers are sympathetic to Rationalism (the social movement, not the alternative to empiricism). I don’t know if I’m senior enough yet to count as a philosopher, but I certainly count myself as among those sympathetic. Yet virtually all...
Crosspost. 1 Strong Longtermism explained Strong Longtermism is the idea that the most important features of our actions concern how they affect the long-run future. The case for it is very simple. The future could contain ridiculously large numbers of people—10^58 by some estimates, far more by others. While humanity...
Crosspost. 1 Introduction Maybe the best paper I’ve ever read is called People in Suitcases by Kacper Kowalczyk. I do not think there is anything plausible deontologists can say in reply. I thought I’d summarize the paper, and also discuss some results from related papers to show why there is...
Crosspost. I have lots of radical views about insects. I think probably most expected happiness and misery in the world is experienced by insects, and that our actions often have much more significant moral impacts on bugs than on people. But in this article, I’m not going to defend anything...
1 Introduction Crosspost of this blog post. My guess is that there will soon be an intelligence explosion. I think the world will witness extremely rapid economic and technological advancement driven by AI progress. I’d put about 60% odds on the kind of growth depicted variously in AI 2027 and...
1 Introduction Crosspost of this blog post. Unlike most books, the thesis of If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies is the title (a parallel case is that the thesis of What We Owe The Future is “What?? We owe the future?). IABIED, by Yudkowsky and Soares (Y&S), argues that if...