"" Smash an egg on the floor. The rule that says that the egg won't spontaneously reform and leap back into your hand is merely probabilistic. A suggestion, if you will. The laws of thermodynamics are probabilistic, so they can't really be laws, the way that "Thou shalt not murder" is a law... right?""

The instant the egg smashes energy is converted into sound and heat etc so it is IMPOSSIBLE that the egg will reform because that would be in violation with conservation of energy!prob = 0

So why not just ignore the suggestion? Then the egg will unscramble itself... right?

It may help to think of it this way - if you still have some lingering intuition that uncertain beliefs are not authoritative:

""In reality, there may be a very small chance that the egg spontaneously reforms. ""

wrong this is actually impossible due to conservation of energy! So your point is invalid!

you do not need to observe somthing in order for it to be the truth

eg

a god exists.. percentage chance < or = 100% as the concept is not redicules and no evidence for or against a god existing exists!

It is logical that if a god did exist that he would have wisdom beyond us

thus there is no reason to believe we have to see him for him to exist

and their is no reason why his existance has to seem logical

you are the one making the assumptions if you assume we need evidence and or proof!

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