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PaulS
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Do Earths with slower economic growth have a better chance at FAI?
PaulS12y00

With just a few different conditions, it seems like it's within the realm of possibility that ancient Roman technology could have been a nearly-sustainable peak of human technology.

What makes you think that? Technological growth had already hit a clear exponential curve by the time of Augustus. The large majority of the time to go from foraging to industry had already passed, and it doesn't look like our history was an unusually short one. Barring massive disasters, most other Earths must fall at least within an order of magnitude of variation from this case.

In any case, we're definitely at a point now where indefinite stagnation is not on the table... unless there's a serious regression or worse.

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Rationality Quotes March 2013
PaulS13y60

You're not the first to have that insight :)

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A brief history of ethically concerned scientists
PaulS13y210

This may be partly because technologies that were used are more conspicuous. We would know if Napier designed a better cannon, but we don't know how much he delayed the development of artillery by concealing his results.

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Open Thread, February 1-14, 2013
PaulS13y30

I would be very interested in something like this.

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The Zeroth Skillset
PaulS13y10

This case is different in an important way. Most people will go inside during a thunderstorm and check for cars before crossing a street, so avoiding these risks doesn't require an unusual degree of vigilance. katydee is claiming that unusually good situational awareness is frequently a decisive factor in avoiding death or serious injury. If that's true, then we should expect to hear about people dying due to inadequate situational awareness fairly often because most people don't have above average situational awareness.

However, I think this is possibly explained by the fact that people with good situational awareness are far more likely to place themselves in situations were good situational awareness is required.

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Singularity the hard way
PaulS13y40

Most potential scientists don't view illiterate children in Third World countries as their competitors.

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Musk, Mars and x-risk
PaulS13y70

It doesn't follow from the fact that you don't know the optimal use of resources that you should settle for anything slightly positive.

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[Link] 12 Myths about Hunger
PaulS13y110

The myths that were actually about hunger contained some useful information. Unfortunately, this ended up being more of an argument for some vaguely leftist political ideology than an actual list of myths about hunger. It seems to me that labeling widely-held political beliefs as "myths" in an article that is supposedly about hunger is not a very good strategy for reaching a wide audience. I personally considered sharing this article when I was about a third of the way through reading it, and then strongly changed my mind when it turned sweeping political generalizations.

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