LESSWRONG
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Pedro Callado
-2020
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"It's a 10% chance which I did 10 times, so it should be 100%"
Pedro Callado11mo-10

I guess wisdom is about understanding, by observation, how "the wheels" role in the machine. You're probably right but you always need to test different solutions. Cybernetics allows you to find out-of-the-box responses on a "plug n play" logic.

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The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
Pedro Callado1y10

Yes, Thays what I think happens. I guess that stopping could be a "better" way of doing it, but if you're unsure the hotel might be ahead, keep going while trying to gather proper orientation may not be the worse. That would require lower speeds. If the example was about a frozen lake and you were driving over what you thought was thin ice, maybe being very careful with any momentum change should apply. I guess that may be the core underlying concern in sensitive situations.

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