LESSWRONG
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philip-bl
2010
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A Proper Scoring Rule for Confidence Intervals
philip-bl8y30

Is there a way to incentivize reporting true probability distribution? Say I Bob wants Alice to provide her probability distribution of IQ she'll get on the test. He is willing to give her a real number as a reward, he wants to hear her probability distribution of her result. What should he do?

Would be nice if it worked for both discrete and non-discrete probability spaces.

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