Decomposing policy into values and value-neutral part seems to be hard and I suspect actual solution requires reflection.
It looks like the opposite? If 91% of progress happened due to two changes in scaling regimes, who knows what is going to happen after third.
I think you can get high-quality 100k smartphone which will be relevant for a long time, if you make it customized specificially for you. The problem is that customization is a labor from the side of the buyer and many people lack taste to perform such labor.
Chaitin's Number of Wisdom. Knowledge looks like noise from outside.
I express this by saying "sufficiently advanced probabilistic reasoning is indistinguishable from prophetic intuition".
Another thing is narrow self-concept.
In original thread, people often write about things they have and their clone would want, like family. They fail to think about things they don't have due to having families, like cocaine orgies, or volunteering to war for just cause, or monastic life in search of enlightenment, so they could flip a coin and go pursue alternative life in 50% of cases. I suspect it's because thinking about desirable things you won't have on the best available course of your life is very sour-grapes-flavored.
When I say "human values" without reference I mean "type of things that human-like mind can want and their extrapolations". Like, blind from birth person can want their vision restored, even if they have sufficiently accommodating environment and other ways to orient, like echolocation. Able-bodied human can notice this and extrapolate this into possible new modalities of perception. You can be not vengeful person, but concept of revenge makes sense to almost any human, unlike concept of paperclip-maximization.
It's nice ideal to strive for, but sometimes you need to make judgement call based on things you can't explain.
Okay, I have instrumentally valuable Green strategies from personal experience.
When I was a little kid, my father taught me to swim. Being very anxious child, I panicked and tried to stay afloat, which resulted in me getting nose full of water, while the correct strategy was to relax and trust water to carry you because human body is floating object.
Another example is recent. I tried to understand textbook on model theory - like, I reread chapter multiple times and interrogated myself with сomprehension questions. I gave up, went to sleep and when I picked up textbook next day, my mind fluently arragened words into meaningful sentences.
("Sleep on" something is an ultimate Green strategy, because it requires your passivity.)
Curiosity is instrumentally beneficial, but it can be directed towards different sorts of objects. Non-green curiosity is curiosity directed towards general objects. Thing like physics, math, evolutionary theory, game theory - things that are relevant everywhere. I'm bioinformatician and I love "general" part of biology, like evolution or main molecular pathways (replication, translation, electron transport chain, this sort of stuff). I struggled with less general parts of molecular biology, because any particular area of molecular biology for outsider looks like "lots of combinations of letters organized into complicated graphs". I came to appreciation of "particular" part of biology through studying cybersecurity and realizing that vulnerabilities come from idiosyncratic properties of system, therefore, to discover them, you need curiosity about this particular system. This is also the way I learned to love immunology and oncology.
Good example of "Green curiosity" is demonstrated in novel "Annihilation" from perspective of biologist:
Green curiosity (Duncan Sabien would say "Green-Black") is helpful for what Gwern called unseeing:
Learning principles according to which evolutionary algorithm works is helped by non-green curiosity, but understanding particular weird product of evolutionary algorithm (even knowing that it is not optimal, even knowing that this understanding won't benefit your generalized knowledge) requires Green curiosity.
Finally, I think Green curiosity is important as complement for terminal value of knowledge. I think after Singularity, if we survive, we are going to quickly discover all "general" stuff, like physical theory of everything, theory of builing multilevel world models, optimal nanotechnology for our physics, etc. I don't think that at this point we will need to declare project of knowing thing finished, we will just need to learn to love studying particular cases.
Another Green epistemic strategies were briefly mentioned by Carlsmith himself, like careful and patient observation of reality without pushing your frames on it, or letting reality destroy your beliefs.
I think you've missed some Green strategies because you grew up in modern world, where good parts of environmentalism and laissez-faire are common sense and bad parts are widely known. But High Modernism gave as a lot of examples of catastrophies which happen when you are not Green enough, like central planning (Hayekian interpretation of markets is Green) or Chinese "Eliminate Sparrows Campaign". Attitude "this forest is useless, we should cut it down and put here golf club" until recently was not trope for cartoon villians, but position of Very Serious People deciding in which direction world should develop.
Another angle is that Green is probably the youngest of attitudes of such type in broad memetic environment. In the past, on the one hand, people were in constant fight with environment, so if you were too Green, you died or were otherwise very miserable. On the other hand, you weren't able to do much against environment, so you needed to lean on it as much as possible and if you tried to do something stupidly agentic like drinking potions of immortality made of mercury you died quickly too. You need very specific distance from Nature made out of industrial urban civilization to recognize necessity to relate to it somehow.
I agree with you that Deep Atheism is correct, but the problem is not with Deep Atheism, it's with people who believe in it. It's very easy to start considering the cold harsh world your enemy, while the world is merely neutral, and if the world is not your enemy, it can spontaneously organize into beneficial structures without your intervention and sometimes you should actively non-intervene to let this happen.
Of course, none of this is obligatory. Maybe you are just a sort of adequate agentic person which doesn't require Green to learn everything mentioned.