The recent improvements in practical utility of AI have decreased my probability of near-term recursive self-improvement. I'm updating towards a Chollet-like view. I'm increasingly convinced that LLMs really are a collection of fairly dumb heuristics (surface-level pattern matching) that are intelligent through breadth, and that there's a qualitative difference from human intelligence. We use fewer heuristics but each one is smarter (more generally applicable, abstract, robust).
In the past it was hard to distinguish whether LLMs were developing smarter heu... (read more)
The recent improvements in practical utility of AI have decreased my probability of near-term recursive self-improvement. I'm updating towards a Chollet-like view. I'm increasingly convinced that LLMs really are a collection of fairly dumb heuristics (surface-level pattern matching) that are intelligent through breadth, and that there's a qualitative difference from human intelligence. We use fewer heuristics but each one is smarter (more generally applicable, abstract, robust).
In the past it was hard to distinguish whether LLMs were developing smarter heu... (read more)