A theme I see being explored in the LW-sphere is the importance of connecting to system 1 information in various ways. There's lots of stuff about meditation, Focusing, connecting to sub-agents, the question "What would happen if [...] you introspected instead?". On the other hand, it appears to be received...
Meet the Bayesians In one way of looking at Bayesian reasoners, there are a bunch of possible worlds and a bunch of people, who start out with some guesses about what possible world we're in. Everyone knows everyone else's initial guesses. As evidence comes in, agents change their guesses about...
Much of the work for this post was done together with Nuño Sempere Perhaps you think that your values will be best served if the AGI you (or your team, company or nation) are developing is deployed first. Would you decide that it's worth cutting a few corners, reducing your...
epistemic status: I suspect these thoughts are not novel and are potentially wrong. I still think there's some value in recording my thought process tl;dr: Selection effects from not being annihilated by aliens may explain why we don't see any very advanced aliens, but it doesn't explain why don't see...
Sorry for the length. In a few paragraphs there's a reader's guide so you can skip around. I have tried to put the most valuable stuff up first. Consider only reading the introduction. Starting from every moment, there are choices you could make. Lots of different choices, spreading out into...
Related: A Sketch of Good Communication, Argument, intuition & recursion > Your friend is wrong, but you look like the crackpot. They might be studying the PhD in climate science, but you're deferring to world-renowned climate expert, Prof. Knows-a-Lot! And yet everyone's looking at you weirdly ... You feel like...