I remember some guy getting interviewed on YouTube who was making good money selling GPT3 generated books. If this was included in the METR graph, it would really throw things off.
We are cooked
Can I put this up at my school? Is there a good AIS poster like this elsewhere?
I) Introduction: The race as of today
The California AI bill SB-1047 has ignited a fierce debate among policymakers and the public. Safety concerns are at the forefront of arguments for regulation, with some urging caution before advancing AI technologies. Opponents of regulation argue that such measures could hinder AI progress, posing their own safety risks by potentially allowing China to overtake the US in AI development. The recognition of an AI race between the US and China is widespread among American policymakers, with a significant focus on maintaining AI supremacy as a matter of national security. A US government report highlights the potential dangers of AI-enabled capabilities, stating they could be used for... (read 2471 more words →)
Speaking to post-labor futures, I feel that CCP AGI would be more likely to redistribute resources in an equitable manner when compared to the US.
Over the last 50 years or so, productivity growth in the US has translated to the ultra-wealthy growing in wealth while the wages for the working class has stagnated. Coupled with oligarchy growing in US, I don't expect the USG to have the interest of the people first and foremost. If USG has AGI, I expect that the trend of rising inequality will continue: billionaires will reap the benefits and the rest of people will be economically powerless... at best surviving on UBI.
As for China, I think that... (read more)