Sancho Panza
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Aroooo!!!
But it's important to be clear-eyed about what the issue is: rent has gone up a lot in places where there are the most jobs, then then it has stayed high for the last decade plus
Current housing shortage estimates range from approximately 2-6 million homes, nationally.
An increase in housing stock would help ameliorate this issue and may be closer to a true root cause of sustained high rents.
If the housing supply in a market exceeds that market’s demand for housing, rents will decrease, regardless of the number of high quality jobs.
I see - thanks for the explanation.
The US had nuclear weapons before any other country. Other countries have these weapons now. The p-boom was quite high at some points but nobody was annihilated with this technology.
Admittedly, nuclear weapons are not a perfect analog for AI due to many reasons, but I think it is a reasonable analog.
With this in mind, I wanted to ask out of curiosity, what % risk do you think there needs to be for annihilation to occur?
A strict and swift non-permanent pause is certainly one option. Use very aggressive regulation. Perspires slightly.
Pause all development and research everywhere and all at once. Don’t stop totally. Don’t be anti-accelerationism. Just slow the rate acceleration a bit.
Unpause when sufficient safety research has been conducted, safety measures have been identified and agreed upon, and can be practically implemented.
This should take approximately 5-50 years. If the world can mobilize the way it did during the COVID-19 pandemic, 5 years feels reasonable.
The world isn’t so bad that we can’t wait for AGI - or whatever the actual goal of the rat race is.
I would suggest that once paused, the following strategy is used to... (read more)
"If we stop and don't develop AGI before our geopolitical enemies because we're afraid of a tiny risk of an extinction, they will develop it regardless, then one of two things happen: either global extinction, or our extinction in our enemies' hands. Which is why we must develop it first. If it goes well, we extinguish them before they have a chance to do it to us. If it goes bad, it'd have gone bad anyway in their or our hands, so that case doesn't matter."
This has become a common description of why AI companies and governments are moving quickly. In general, I agree with the description, but I specifically struggle with... (read more)
I agree with your assessment. I live in Boston and conducted some research on this same topic a couple of years back.
I took a look at the state sanitary code too. I thought that may be prohibitive, but was surprised to find that it really isn't.
The Massachusetts state sanitary code (410.420 (D) Minimum Square Footage) provides:
... (read 374 more words →)(1) Every dwelling unit shall contain at least 150 square feet of habitable floor space for its first occupant, and at least 100 square feet of habitable floor space for each additional occupant.
(2) A rooming unit shall contain a minimum of 100 square feet of habitable floor space when: (a) The unit contains one single room for
Running with this concept, this means postponing “living” (in the non-biological sense of having fulfilling experiences) now for the hope of being able to start “living” after life-extending technology and quality of geriatric life have increased to a point of effective immortality.
That could take decades or longer. Unsurprisingly, very, very few people - even us on LW - are likely to fully optimize if “living” is the cost today and not guaranteed later.