We’d like to know how much limits on compute scaling will constrain AI R&D. This post doesn’t have answers, but it does attempt to clarify thinking about how to use economic models to explore the question. The Standard Model of Idea Production A general “Jones-style” model of idea production[1] is...
Goodfire wrote Intentionally designing the future of AI about training on interpretability. This seems like an instance of The Most Forbidden Technique which has been warned against over and over - optimization pressure on interpretability technique [T] eventually degrades [T]. Goodfire claims they are aware of the associated risks and...
Humans are contacted by a mysterious type of being calling themselves “Galabren” who say they are “aelthous”. They’d like to know if we, too, are aelthous, since if we are they’d like to treat us well, as they care about aelthous things. We ask the Galabren what aelthous means and...