shanzson

After going through Vitalik’s response to @Daniel Kokotajlo 's AI 2027 and Daniel Kokotajlo’s response to Vitalik’s response to Daniel’s response, and after Daniel challenged him to write his own version of the AI 2027 response of what he thinks actually transpires and what not, I cannot help but write a Vitalik-inspired version of AI 2027, while being grounded in reality as much as possible with my own take on it. Vitalik argues that he feels the timeline of AI 2027 looks much shorter to him and he expects the timelines to be longer than that. To which Daniel also agrees that if it transpires to be longer than predicted timeline, there could be more defensive tech to be produced. I too agree with Vitalik that we might be underestimating the ability of humans to coordinate and defend themselves from AI based takeovers from happening. While I expect the timeline to be longer than what predicted by AI 2027 too, I would argue that there would be at least one event during the course of race to Superintelligence where US (and the rest of the world) awakens to the extremely dangerous capabilities of misaligned superintelligent AIs so much so that it gets heavily regulated and almost banned. I will avoid divulging too much from the AI-2027 timelines to keep the discussion simpler and less confusing. So here’s an alternative timeline based on the Race scenario which is assumed to go on parallely with AI 2027’s Race timeline until early-2028: Mid-2026 1. As OpenBrain Code and rival coding agents get increasingly popular, thousands of computers increasingly find instances of these agents getting access to their file system. There are a few instances of the coding agents corrupting data and infecting them with a few viruses and malwares. OpenBrain and its rivals seldom take responsibility. OpenBrain especially wants its coding agents to get access to its user’s file systems so that it can upload the data to train its next more capable models. 2. As events of coding age