LESSWRONG
LW

ShardPhoenix
3424Ω-4127620
Message
Dialogue
Subscribe

Posts

Sorted by New

Wikitag Contributions

Comments

Sorted by
Newest
No wikitag contributions to display.
Mikhail Samin's Shortform
ShardPhoenix1h30

Based on the last paragraph it doesn't sound like OpenAI specifically was asked to do this?

Reply
Is the political right becoming actively, explicitly antisemitic?
ShardPhoenix5d61

>it appears in Australia the right wing are staunchly antisemitic - which is giving me a bit of conceptual whiplash. 

Did you mean pro-?

Reply
I made a card game to reduce cognitive biases and logical fallacies but I'm not sure what DV to test in a study on its effectiveness.
ShardPhoenix1mo62

Feedback: The cover image and choice of font are bizarre and off-putting to me. Bubbly font with a giant HOMO and a weird diseased-looking pink gun give me more vibes of homosexuality than rationality.

Reply
sunwillrise's Shortform
ShardPhoenix1mo60

In the tradeoff between emphasis on intellectual exploration vs. emphasis on correctness and applicability LW seems to have moved closer to the latter, and I think you're mourning the former. I do feel this has been driven largely by AI moving from a speculative idea to very much a reality.

 

Also re: Said Achmiz - to quote The Big Lebowski, "You're not wrong Walter. You're just an asshole."
(I agree with Said on the object level more often than not but his tone can be more abrasive than necessary. But then again too much agreeableness can make it hard to get at the truth. Sometimes the truth hurts.)

Reply
Have LLMs Generated Novel Insights?
ShardPhoenix5moΩ152

That's a reasonable suspicion but as a counterpoint there might be more low-hanging fruit in biomedicine than math, precisely because it's harder to test ideas in the former. Without the need for expensive experiments, math has already been driven much deeper than other fields, and therefore requires a deeper understanding to have any hope of making novel progress.

edit: Also, if I recall correctly, the average IQ of mathematicians is higher than biologists, which is consistent with it being harder to make progress in math.

Reply
Have LLMs Generated Novel Insights?
ShardPhoenix5moΩ163

If there were, we would've probably heard about massive shifts in how scientists (and entrepreneurs!) are doing their work.

I have been seeing a bit of this, mostly uses of o1-pro and OpenAI Deep Research in chem/bio/medicine, and mostly via Twitter hype so far. But it might be the start of something.

Reply
SWE Automation Is Coming: Consider Selling Your Crypto
ShardPhoenix5mo3-2

In principle, distressed sales shouldn't affect the long term price since they have nothing to do with fundamentals - so it's really just a discount for non-distressed buyers. However crypto is weird and more like a Keynesian beauty contest than most things, so who knows.

Reply
Bogdan Ionut Cirstea's Shortform
ShardPhoenix8mo1110

I think they meant that as an analogy to how developed/sophisticated it was (ie they're saying that it's still early days for reasoning models and to expect rapid improvement), not that the underlying model size is similar.

Reply
Eli's shortform feed
ShardPhoenix8mo44

That's a PR friendly way of saying that it failed to reach PMF.

Reply
Habryka's Shortform Feed
ShardPhoenix9mo40

Thanks for fixing this. The 'A' thing in particular multiple times caused me to try to edit comments thinking that I'd omitted a space.

Reply
Load More
22How should AI systems behave, and who should decide? [OpenAI blog]
2y
2
13Open AI: Can we rule out near-term AGI?
7y
1
31Open AI co-founder on AGI
7y
1
2Links with underscores
7y
3
8An attempt at a short no-prerequisite test for programming inclination
12y
68
57Main section vs. discussion section
13y
13
6Suggestions for a presentation on FAI?
14y
9