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Omicron Variant Post #1: We’re F***ed, It’s Never Over

Makes sense to me...

On the other hand, if it takes longer to show symptoms but it's still equally transmissible since early but for longer, you get higher Rs without surprising new mechanisms of transmission. Also, it may also be escaping our current precautions instead of the immunity.

Omicron Variant Post #1: We’re F***ed, It’s Never Over

Why does it follow that a longer time to develop symptoms suggests immune escape?


Also, if the timeline is longer, then the estimates of how much more transmissible Omicron is, based on the time it's taken for it to displace Delta, should be even greater, right?

Covid 11/18: Paxlovid Remains Illegal

On the other hand, those lockdowns may only last until the cases start going down again, but you can't get unvaccinated.

Covid 8/12: The Worst Is Over

 If not mandating vaccination for indoor dining, then what?

Even that minimally coercive approach you describe is pretty coercive; I don´t expect the benefits to outweigh the ugly side of making many tens of millions of people be injected with something they don´t like or trust or want. Some people are still getting convinced to get vaccinated just with time alone, and many other things could be done better to convince more people without more restrictions. I don´t know what to expand on without making this too long. 

Covid 8/12: The Worst Is Over

the WHO who still refuse to admit Covid is airborne


Sort of.  For some months now, the WHO states that it can spread "in poorly ventilated and/or crowded indoor settings [...] because aerosols remain suspended in the air" 


EDIT: (used to ask why the link wasn't formatting properly)

Covid 8/12: The Worst Is Over

And if the choice is between ‘no indoor dining (or other X) for anyone’ and ‘no indoor dining (or other X) for the unvaccinated’ I know which one I’m choosing, and which one leaves me more free.

I agree that "no indoor dining for anyone" is worse than mandating vaccination for indoor dining. But I also don´t think the situation merits either. Protecting the immunocompromised and people that want but can´t get vaccinated doesn´t make up for the concerns.

Covid 8/12: The Worst Is Over

 we’d not only not make them mandatory, they’d be forbidden.

The space between those two is very small, maybe even negative.

Covid 7/29: You Play to Win the Game

Regarding the intelligence tests after COVID: Fourth, I can imagine some people that had COVID and go test themselves might actually want/expect to see some effect and end up not doing their best, to be a victim or have an excuse or something to blame for whatever.

Covid 5/6: Vaccine Patent Suspension

It's unlikely that these corporations would make the assumption that all future IP would also be "confiscated"

Do you have a good explanation to Moderna's market price drop?

Even if they made that assumption, what are they supposed to do? Stop investing in future developments, and slowly go out of business?

Borrow less, invest less, or, as you say in your last line, focus on other ways of making money that don't require innovation and IP?

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