I arrived at the site from the HP fanfiction after reading the author's notes concerning the case.
Probability estimate that Amanda Knox is guilty -- 99%
Knox and Sollecito's alibis are contingent on the other. However, I recognize that there is a probability that one may lie to cover the other, so it is not implausible that one may be guilty without the other being so. While they certainly had the opportunity to murder, there appears to be neither motive nor weapon. The only credible evidence against Sollecito is his DNA being on the bra hook material, and there's a great deal of controversy regarding that specimen. The... (read more)
I arrived at the site from the HP fanfiction after reading the author's notes concerning the case.
Probability estimate that Amanda Knox is guilty -- 99%
Knox and Sollecito's alibis are contingent on the other. However, I recognize that there is a probability that one may lie to cover the other, so it is not implausible that one may be guilty without the other being so. While they certainly had the opportunity to murder, there appears to be neither motive nor weapon. The only credible evidence against Sollecito is his DNA being on the bra hook material, and there's a great deal of controversy regarding that specimen. The... (read more)