solaire

It feels like we have talked past each other given this and responses to other comments.

I do not think this really addressed a core misconception shaping the debate or a best a contradiction of historical expert analysis. Would you call it "industrial collapse" if, following a full scale nuclear war, present day Australia was still standing a month later with little military destruction nor human casualties?

I am not directly an expert in the field and climate science in particular has advanced a lot compared to historical research, on all topics not just nuclear winter, but I have read some different authors. Also to the point, the... (read more)

I have to say that nuclear warfare was less of a human extinction risk than some people tend to think or is directly suggested by this text. Even a straight all out war between the United States and Soviet Union using their full arsenals would not have caused human extinction nor likely have prevented some technological societies from rebuilding if they didn't outright survive. I've seen out there expert analyses on raw destruction and on factors like subsequent global climate devastation showing this conclusion from any plausible military contigencies and actions. The remaining arguments in favor would have to be pretty convoluted, like by setting a sociopolitical precedent it... (read more)

Been a lurker for a relatively short time, took the survey.

I had some concerns over the extra credit questions and one thing in particular that prompted me to respond. I agree it seems there was meant to be no right answer to a couple of the questions, and the babies in the hospital was at least a clear statistical problem. I also had an admittedly whimsical objection to the lack of details on one question, thanks to the level of specificity seen in riddles, puzzles, and so on here, and maybe due to a programmer background thinking of pointers and assignments. The first CFAR question should... (read more)