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Rationality Quotes Thread February 2015

Wouldn't this be more ore appropriate for an open thread than the quotes thread?

Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, January 2015, chapter 103

I question the wisdom of reading books that someone was potentially killed for reading without better opsec than Malfoy was demonstrating.

LINK: Superrationality and DAOs

I don't think so. They're running on the blockchain, which slows them down. The primary decision-making mechanisms for them are going to basically be the same as can be used for existing organizations, like democracy, prediction markets, etc. Unless you think your bank or government is going to become a seed AI, there's not that much more to DAOs.

Open thread, Jan. 19 - Jan. 25, 2015

Keep forgetting to say thanks for the advice. Haven't had the chance to give it a shot yet, but once I get some headphones I will.

Open thread, Jan. 19 - Jan. 25, 2015

You could post this as a top level discussion post here, if you want to make it more available and reduce trivial inconveniences to those without access to facebook.

Open thread, Jan. 19 - Jan. 25, 2015

Didn't get a response in the last thread, so I'm asking again, a bit more generally.

I've recently been diagnosed with ADHD-PI. I'm wondering how to best use that information to my advantage, and am looking for resources that might help manage this. Does anyone have anything to recommend?

In the short-term I'm trying to lower barriers for things like actually eating by preparing snacks in snaplock bags, printing out and laminating checklists to remind me of basic tasks, and finding more ways to get instant feedback on progress in as many areas as I can (for coding, this means test-driven development).

Open thread, Jan. 19 - Jan. 25, 2015

I'm using workflowy as well, and it's the only to-do list software I've ever actually used for more than a few days.

One feature that I've wanted for a while is dependencies. Let's say you need to print out a form, but you need to purchase printer ink first. Being able to hide "print out form for xyz" until "buy printer ink" is completed would be great.

Open thread, Jan. 12 - Jan. 18, 2015

I've recently been diagnosed with ADHD (predominantly inattentive). Does anyone here share this, and if so, what resources or books on the topic would you recommend?

IQ Scores Fail to Predict Academic Performance in Children With Autism

My Bayes' is not very strong, so forgive me. This is about as naive as it gets.

Prior for adult ADHD is about 4%.

For working memory:

2SD difference given ADHD is 35%, and for the rest of the population it's 2.4%. I'll use LWM to represent a significantly lower working memory.

This suggests an overall population of 3.7% having a 2SD difference, since 4% x 35% + 96% x 2.4% = 3.7%

So P(ADHD | LWM) = 35% x 4% / 3.7% = 37.8%

For processing speed:

2SD difference given ADHD is 44.9%, and for the rest of the population it's 8.7%. I'll use LPS to represent a significantly lower processing speed

This suggests and overall population of 10.1% having a 2SD difference, since 44.9% x 4% + 8.7% x 96% = 10.1%

so P(ADHD | LPS) = 44.9% x 4% / 10.1% = 17.8%


Each of those increase the odds of ADHD significantly above the population baseline, and if you're experiencing ADHD symptoms in conjunction with results like that, it's probably worth seeing a psychiatrist.

Open thread, Dec. 22 - Dec. 28, 2014

Learn Python the Hard Way is a pretty solid resource, though I used it before Codecademy came out. Both are excellent practice-based resources for starting programming.

After that, just get python books and work through them. Tools like Flask and Django if you want to do web development, other stuff if you want to do other stuff. If you don't know if you

Stackoverflow is usually where google will take you when you look for answers to your questions, so you might as well bookmark it.

And if you don't have something in mind you want to make, but you want to keep practising, try doing some ProjectEuler problems.

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