Glad you understood me. Sorry for my english!Of course, the following examples themselves do not prove the opportunity to solve the entire problem of AGI alignment! But it seems to me that this direction is interesting and strongly underestimated. Well, someone smarter than me can look at this idea and say that it is bullshit, at least.
Partly this is a source of intuition for me, that the creation of aligned superintellect is possible. And maybe not even as hard as it seems.We have many examples of creatures that follow the goals of someone more stupid. And the mechanism that is responsible for this should not be very complex.
Such a stupid process, as a natural selection, was able to create mentioned capabilities. It must be achievable for us.
It seems to me that the brains of many animals can be aligned with the goals of someone much more stupid themselves.People and pets. Parasites and animals. Even ants and fungus.Perhaps the connection that we would like to have with superintellence, is observed on a much smaller scale.
I apologize for the stupid question. But…
Do we have more chances to survive in the world, which is closer to Orwell's '1984'?It seems to me that we are moving towards more global surveillance and control. China's regime in 2021 may seem extremely liberal for an observer in 2040.
I guess I missed the term gray goo. I apologize for this and for my bad English.Is it possible to replace it on the 'using nanotechnologies to attain a decisive strategic advantage'?I mean the discussion of the prospects for nanotechnologies on SL4 20+ years ago. This is especially:
My current estimate, as of right now, is that humanity has no more than a 30% chance of making it, probably less. The most realistic estimate for a seed AI transcendence is 2020; nanowar, before 2015.
I understand that since then the views of EY have changed in many ways. But I am interested in the views of experts on the possibility of using nanotechnology for those scenarios that he implies now. That little thing I found.
Nanosystems are definitely possible, if you doubt that read Drexler’s Nanosystems and perhaps Engines of Creation and think about physics.
Is there something like the result of a survey of experts about the feasibility of drexlerian nanotechnology? Are there any consensus among specialists about the possibility of a gray goo scenario?
Drexler and Yudkowsky both extremely overestimated the impact of molecular nanotechnology in the past.
I do not know the opinions of experts on this issue. And I lack competence for such conclusions, sorry.
AlexNet was the first publication that leveraged graphical processing units (GPUs) for the training run
Do you mean the first of the data points on the chart? The GPU was used for DL long before AlexNet. References: , , , , .
The most realistic estimate for a seed AI transcendence is 2020; nanowar, before 2015. The most optimistic estimate for project Elisson would be 2006; the earliest nanowar, 2003.
But this is 1999, yes.
When we didn’t have enough information to directly count FLOPs, we looked GPU training time and total number of GPUs used and assumed a utilization efficiency (usually 0.33)
This can be useful:
We trained the league using three main agents (one for each StarCraft race), three main exploiter agents (one for each race), and six league exploiter agents (two for each race). Each agent was trained using 32 third-generation tensor processing units (TPUs) over 44 days