We have "aliefs" and "beliefs" - let me introduce "celiefs": something that we worry *has a high chance of being true*, but aren't quite convinced of.
Often this is something that society/experts/someone you admire says is true, but you don't see the reasoning behind.
We may look for evidence that might convince us of the celief, or behave as if we already believe the celief; this is not exactly performative, but more like an act of "hedging" -- so that if the celief turns out to be true, we've avoided causing harm. We would do this regardless of whether people see it, but it can still feel "disingenuous" since we haven't quite internalized the... (read 211 more words →)
I think degrees of various kinds of beliefs are always a spectrum, but the spirit of celiefs is you "can't see the gears", like Mateusz mentioned. So if you actually have some idea of why and just don't put 100% certainty on it, I wouldn't say it's meaningfully a celief