A common belief among members of this community seems to be that long-term, humans are likely to increase in intelligence, knowledge, and general problem-solving ability. I would like to take a moment to argue for the opposite position. This is not a strongly held belief of mine, but as I don’t think I’ve seen this argument mentioned explicitly here before, it seems worthwhile to present a steel-manned version of it.
The argument for long-term increased human intelligence tends to rest on a few broad assumptions (some of these may be contingent on each other and some may not; I am not making a strong effort to further classify these assumptions):
- genetic engineering for human
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