This was helpful to me in better understanding stream entry/identifying good teachers, thank you! Do you have any other suggestions on how non-enlightened individuals might distinguish good teachers from bad, other than your specific examples of meditation centers and Tweets?

I heard "seems like [x] is a crux" at my STEM-focused workplace last week; I'm not aware of the speaker using LW.

one of the most promising young EAs in the country!

Curious, on what metric is this measured?

As a STEM enthusiast, I suspect I would've much more quickly engaged with the Sequences had I first been recommended arbital.com as a gateway to it instead of "read the Sequences" directly.

In your mind, in what ways does "being in the state of kensho 24/7" differ from "enlightenment"?

Got it, thank you! The cases I've noticed have indeed been from (what I believe to be) non-canonical sequences.

Is the idea that

1. your "belief" you're describing is a somehow unupdated ranked calibration with E[Draymond rank|Ben Taylor's opinion] = E[Draymond rank] = ~50, whereas your model (which you consider separate from a true belief) would predict that the random variable "Draymond rank|Ben Taylor's opinion" has mode 22, which is clearly different from your prior of ~50
2. your alief is that Draymond's rank is ~50 while your System 2 level belief is that Draymond's rank is ~22

or some combination of the two?

Interesting, thank you for sharing! As someone also newer to this space, I'm curious about estimates for the proportion of people in leading technical positions similar to "lead AI scientist" at a big company who would actually be interested in this sort of serendipitous conversation. I was under the impression that many in the position "lead AI scientist" at a big company would be either too 1) wrapped up in thinking about their work/pressing problems or 2) uninterested in mundane small-talk topics to spend "a majority of the conversation talking about [OP's] bike seat," but this clearly provides evidence to the contrary.

Could you elaborate on the "i somehow still managed to get on the flight" part? How long to get through security (in which line), and how many min before departure did boarding close?

Seems very related to this post from the sequences on fitness of people of numerical ages correlating more with imagined emotional anguish resulting from such a death (at that age) than with experienced anguish actually following such a death. Maybe this is a more common phenomenon observable in other contexts too, but this was the only example that came to my mind.