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Eric Neyman
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I work at the Alignment Research Center (ARC). I write a blog on stuff I'm interested in (such as math, philosophy, puzzles, statistics, and elections): https://ericneyman.wordpress.com/
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We have developed some relatively general methods for mechanistic estimation competitive with sampling by studying problems that are expressible as expectations of random products. This includes several different estimation problems, such as random halfspace intersections, random #3-SAT and random permanents. In this post, we will give a high-level introduction to...
In October, I wrote a post arguing that donating to Alex Bores's campaign for Congress was among the most cost-effective opportunities that I'd ever encountered. (A bit of context: Bores is a state legislator in New York who championed the RAISE Act, which was signed into law last December.[1] He's...
[Posting this on behalf of someone I trust who wants to stay anonymous.] California SB 53 and the New York RAISE Act are the only laws in the US designed to protect against catastrophic risk from frontier AI systems. With the federal government failing to act on this area, these...
In 2025, the Alignment Research Center (ARC) has been making conceptual and theoretical progress at the fastest pace that I (Eric) have seen since I first interned in 2022. Most of this progress has come about because of a re-orientation around a more specific goal: outperforming random sampling when it...
Written in my personal capacity. Thanks to many people for conversations and comments. Written in less than 24 hours; sorry for any sloppiness. [Link to donate here -- please use this link rather than going to his website -- but please read at least the first few paragraphs.] It’s an...
Written in my personal capacity. The views expressed here are my own. Thanks to Zach Stein-Perlman, Jesse Richardson, and many others for comments. [Link to donate here -- please use this link rather than going to his website -- but please read at least the first few paragraphs.] Over the...
I wrote this in January 2024 as a memo for the 2024 Summit on Existential Security. Will MacAskill suggested in conversation that I post it publicly, so here it is (modulo minor revisions)! Thanks to Will MacAskill, Ben Hilton, and Lionel Levine for comments. Suppose we get an aligned superintelligence...