I wrote this post during the first part of the SERI MATS winter school, in Vanessa Kosoy's research stream. This is just an explanation of my intended research direction and the motivation behind it, and write down proofs for the statements in Vanessa's comment describing the research direction. The motivation...
Падшие ангелы рядом с лицами старых солдат Ждут одного лишь приказа: вернуться… Вернуться назад Чтобы собрать все знамёна, стрелы, обломки мечей, Вновь пережить вместе битву ста дней и ночей. Катарсис, "Крылья" I often see people in the West argue that Ukraine ought to cede some territories to Russia so that...
Suppose Ann asks robot Bob to buy her favorite fruit. Bob doesn't know what Ann's favorite fruit is, but he knows that Ann likes either apples, bananas or oranges, each with probability 1/3, and doesn't like the other two fruits at all. At the groceries, for his money Bob can...
This post is written as part of the SERI MATS program. This post explores how model interpretability has changed over time, and if the existing approaches to interpretability are likely to remain viable as the models increase in size and capability. I examine several approaches to interpretability: * simulatability; *...
I recently saw Rob Bensinger asking what MIRI could do to improve hiring. I tried to get a job at MIRI in February 2020 and I have some feedback to give. I am sorry, because I am about to say some harsh things, but I think they might be important...
Merging of opinions is a classical theorem in probability theory proved by Blackwell and Dubins in 1962. [1] It is often cited by researcher Vanessa Kosoy, so I decided to try and understand it as a first step to understanding the infrabayesianism theory. Introduction Intuitively, the theorem says that under...
You are an ordinary citizen in a hypothetical, imaginary Evil Empire that wages an aggressive war against its neighbor. Telling the truth about the war can get you imprisoned, protesting can get you fined or imprisoned. What can you do to impede your country's war effort? Unlike the usuall bubble...