Is one of the methods of getting causal estimates that you're going to write about simply to give each possible decision a non-zero random chance of being selected? Here's what Hanson wrote about this approach:
Conditioning on random decisions should very effective, but seems expensive. However, it seems much less expensive to sometimes randomly not do a policy change that you were going to do, than to sometimes randomly do a policy change you were not going to do. So I suggest that a futarchy system for considering and adopting proposals randomly reject sa
Is one of the methods of getting causal estimates that you're going to write about simply to give each possible decision a non-zero random chance of being selected? Here's what Hanson wrote about this approach:
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