I'm reading Superforecasters and one of the things that differentiates good from bad forecasters is ideology: those who try to fit the world in their left/right wing view are less effective at forecasting. Does Ideology still has a place in a rational world? Why (not)? My limited perspective tells me...
Any page or source on when the translations will be sold? I will probably buy like 10 copies of it in spanish
The important part is to do anything in your power to get rid of your ignorance. Not simply proclaim to be open minded and confess ignorance, but hunt it down. I'd say.
My current job is to develop PoCs and iterate over user feedback. It is a lot of basic and boilerplate. I am handling three projects at the same time when before cursor I would have been managing one and taking longer. I suck at UI and cursor simply solved this for me. We have shipped one of the tools and are finalizing shipping the second one, but they are LLM wrappers indeed designed to summarize or analyze text for customer support purposes and GTR related stuff. The UI iteration however has immensely helped and accelerated.
I think he’s talking about coast disease?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baumol_effect
Are there any plans for an update? One year on, do the ideas discussed still apply?
I also started doing something similar. I’ve thought about rolling over every 6 months in case a black swan flash crashes the value of the options at the time of exercising/selling. Any thoughts on this?
Has Lecun explained anywhere how does he intend to be able to keep the guardrails on open source systems?
I modified part of my portfolio to resemble the summarized takeaway. I'm up 30(!?!) % in less than 4 months.
I asked GPT-4 to develop an end-of-the-world story based on how EY thinks it will go. Fed it several quotes from EY, asked to make it exciting and compelling, and after a few tweaks, this is what it came up with. I should mention that the name of the system was GPT-4's idea! Thoughts?
Title: The Utopian Illusion
Dr. Kent and Dr. Yang stood before a captivated audience, eager to unveil their groundbreaking creation. "Ladies and gentlemen, distinguished members of the press," Dr. Kent began, "we are proud to introduce TUDKOWSKY: the Total Urban Detection, Knowledge, and Observation Workflow System by Kent and Yang."
Applause and camera flashes filled the room as Dr. Yang explained,... (read 522 more words →)
I'm reading Superforecasters and one of the things that differentiates good from bad forecasters is ideology: those who try to fit the world in their left/right wing view are less effective at forecasting.
Does Ideology still has a place in a rational world? Why (not)?
My limited perspective tells me in theory ideology would give you ideas to try and would bias potential solutions.
Who/what does the art on the different pages in lesswrong?