The in-person version of this meetup has been cancelled. Instead, we are going to use discord. The invite link is here.
If you don't live in Munich and still want to join, you are invited to do so!
We are a new-ish SSC meetup in Munich formed during the last “Meetups Everwher” event. After the first meetup, we decided to make this a regular monthly meeting. At meeups, we usually have a casual conversation about whatever topic comes to our fancy. We usually speak English, but most people will also be able to speak German.
This time we're doing something more 'dojo'-like: There will be a short (10-15 minutes) presentation on Tetlock-style forecasting (mostly covering the basics) followed by a forecasting exercise in groups of 3/4 people (33 predictions on 7 topics). A month and a half later, there will be a follow-up about your performance in the exercise.
If you don't like this, you might want to question your judgement on what you consider fun, but whatever, there will also be a parallel/afterwards pub/discussion session :-).
In the spirit of “Meetups Everywhere”, anyone who wants to come can come. Please feel free to come even if you feel awkward about it, even if you're not “the typical SSC reader”, even if you're worried people won't like you, etc.
I'm looking forward to the event