For our inaugural meetup, we're going to sit down, play some games, answer some trivia, and even do some social deduction and scheming, but with one big twist: every outcome will be represented by a play-money prediction market on https://manifold.markets/!

Everyone will start the night with 500 Mana, the currency of manifold markets. You can gain mana by correctly predicting outcomes, or by day-trading, or any number of other strategies. Whoever finishes the night with the most Mana wins a cool and rare prize!

Please note: you do not need to know anything about prediction markets to participate! We'll dedicate the start of the event to getting familiar with https://manifold.markets

This event is inspired by an event that was run in NYC. Check out this example of a trivia question market from the NYC event: https://manifold.markets/ShakedKoplewitz/16-did-the-30-year-war-actually-las.

If you are coming:

• Please RSVP here on lesswrong.com. I have made a reservation and need to know headcount
• Bringing a laptop is strongly recommended
• Food and Drink are available at the venue, at your own expense
• Feel free to bring any table-top games that are simple to explain and take less than half an hour to play

Contact

keri@warr.ca or sandraudiga#4876 on discord