Note: we'll be meeting IRL this week at Nathan's (@nburn42#4388) place indoors. Nathan will be opening the pool again, so bring a swimsuit! He's got roughly 10 towels, so maybe bring your own just in case.

Reading:

The Codex (Week 1, Cautious Epistemology)

In anticipation of the ACX Everywhere Meetup in October, we're switching over to discussing the work of Big Scott. This week we'll be talking about what I'm calling "cautious epistemology", which is the theme in Scott Alexander's work where he defends having modest credences even in the face of convincing arguments that seem to imply extreme belief.

- "Should You Reverse Any Advice You Hear?": https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/03/24/should-you-reverse-any-advice-you-hear/
- "Epistemic Learned Helplessness": https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/06/03/repost-epistemic-learned-helplessness/
- "Extreme Rationality: It's Not That Great": https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LgavAYtzFQZKg95WC/extreme-rationality-it-s-not-that-great
- "Schelling Fences On Slippery Slopes": https://www.lesswrong.com/s/XsMTxdQ6fprAQMoKi/p/Kbm6QnJv9dgWsPHQP
- "On Overconfidence": https://www.lesswrong.com/s/TQW9brvXJ5Fajorr4/p/CcyGR3pp3FCDuW6Pf

Location: 11841 Wagner St., Culver City

Note the following:
1) Things start winding down around 11:30 PM.
2) For parking: use street parking. Do not park in the driveway of the house.  Street parking is free and doesn't require any permits.
3) Please take a rapid COVID test the night before the meetup.

Schedule:
6:30PM - 7:00PM - Gathering/Chatting
7:00PM - 7:20PM - Surprise of the Week
7:20PM - 7:30PM - Announcements
7:30PM - 9:00PM - Topic Discussion
9:00PM - 11:30PM - Hanging Out

Contact: The best way to contact me (or anybody else who is attending the meetup) is through our Discord. Feel free to message Vishal or Nathan directly. Invitation link: https://discord.gg/TaYjsvN