My instinct is to not kill the loved one, but on virtue-ethics grounds, not because of any sort of counterfactual reciprocity argument. My understanding is that UDT is not actually computable. As a result, no possible agent can act as you describe. So this doesn't seem like a particularly compelling thought experiment.
if I'm deciding what to do with a hostage, it makes no difference what the other party decides. What matters is my judgement of them right before we became causally separated -- and I am skeptical that my decision-making after the separation is useful evidence on this point.
More broadly, I can think of lots of reasons to take counterfactual possibilities into account. But none of them require me to say that the counterfactual "really exists". For instance, I'm worried about people judging me for being reckless, dishonorable, etc. What's the case where I actually care about non-causal interactions?
My understanding is that UDT is not actually computable. As a result, no possible agent can act as you describe. So this doesn't seem like a particularly compelling thought experiment.
Are you confusing UDT with AIXI? It is certainly possible for an agent to act as described and the tricky part isn't anything to do with "UDT" (but rather the possible but difficult task of making the predictions.)
What's the case where I actually care about non-causal interactions?
The case given is sufficient. Anyone who is capable of one-boxing on Newcomb's ...
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