I'd like to hear what people think about calibrating how many ideas you voice versus how confident you are in their accuracy.

For lack of a better example, i recall eliezer saying that new open threads should be made quadanually, once per season, but this doesn't appear to be the optimum amount. Perhaps eliezer misjudged how much activity they would receive and how fast they would fill up or he has a different opinion on how full a thread has to be to make it time for a new thread, but for sake of the example lets assume that eliezer was wrong and that the current one or two threads per month is better than quadanually. Should eliezer have recalibrated his confidence on this and never said it because its chance of being right was too low or would lowering his confidence on ideas be counter productive and is it optimal for people to have confidence in the ideas that they voice even it causes them to say some things which aren't right.

I suppose this is of importance to me because I think I might be better off if i lowered how judgemental i am of people who say things which are wrong and also lowered how judgemental i am of the ideas i have because i might be putting too much weight on people voicing ideas which are wrong.